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川渝地区工商业分布式光伏投资开发关键因素研究

Key factors influencing commercial and industrial distributed photovoltaic investment in Sichuan and Chongqing regions

  • 摘要:
    目的 四川盆地及重庆地区(简称川渝地区)因太阳能资源禀赋较差,且分布式光伏市场尚处发展初期,其项目投资开发的可行性仍需系统评估。
    方法 从光照资源、建设条件、电价结构及设备投资成本4个维度,分析川渝地区工商业分布式光伏项目投资开发过程中的关键影响因素,获取不同应用场景下的投资开发边界条件。
    结果 川渝地区光伏最佳安装倾角范围为14°~20°,但适当降低安装倾角可提升单位面积装机量及斜面辐照量,从而提高总发电量;N型光伏组件特别是异质结光伏组件因弱光性能优异,可带来显著发电增益;此外,重庆地区因电价优势,投资边界较四川盆地更广。
    结论 川渝地区分布式光伏项目可通过对安装条件、组件选型及系统效率评估等方面进行优化提升发电量;随着组件降本增效,对内清洁替代项目普遍具有经济效益,但对外投资开发项目仍需结合协议电价、资源禀赋及装机规模严格筛选。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective Sichuan Basin and Chongqing region (referred to as Sichuan and Chongqing region) due to poor resource endowment and the current distributed photovoltaic (PV) market is basically in its infancy, the feasibility of project investment and development is still unclear.
    Method This paper analysed the key factors influencing the investment and development process of industrial and commercial distributed PV projects in Sichuan and Chongqing region around four aspects: light resources, construction conditions, power tariff structure and equipment investment costs. It derived boundary conditions for investment and development feasibility under different application scenarios.
    Result Firstly, the optimal installation tilt angle of PV in Sichuan and Chongqing region is from 14° to 20°, but appropriately lowering the installation tilt angle can take into the account the installed capacity per unit area and the irradiation amount on the sloped surface, thus obtaining higher power generation; secondly, N-type PV modules, especially heterojunction PV modules, have better low-light performance, which can bring about higher incremental power generation; thirdly, a comprehensive industrial and commercial power tariff structures and PV generation yield the investment boundary for the Chongqing region is wider than that of the Sichuan Basin.
    Conclusion Distributed PV projects in Sichuan and Chongqing region can be optimised to achieve power generation improvement through the installation conditions, component selection and system efficiency assessment, and with further cost reduction and efficiency increasing of the components, the internal clean substitution projects are generally economically efficient, but the external investment and development projects still need to be further screened in combination with the agreements on power tariffs, resource endowment and installed capacity scale.

     

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