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天然气组成相关性及其对物性参数不确定度的影响

Correlation study of natural gas composition and its influence on the uncertainty of calculated physical property parameters

  • 摘要:
    目的 在气相色谱分析天然气组成过程中,使用多组数据的线性模拟和协方差计算等,进行了气相色谱分析天然气组成相关性及其对所计算物性参数的不确定度影响研究。
    方法 对5个天然气样品分别进行超过40次组成分析,得到了各样品不同组成之间的相关系数,并计算了5个相关系数矩阵的平均值。结合所用分析设备特点和分析流程,讨论所形成的相关系数矩阵的形成原因,并推荐了在无法实际进行相关系数测定时确定相关系数的推荐方法。
    结果 基于模拟天然气组成及其不确定度,评估了在不同的相关系数矩阵下,由组成计算得出的天然气发热量的不确定度差异达到20%。分析了使用不同的相关系数矩阵得到不同天然气物性参数不确定度的影响大小。
    结论 不同组成在取样、分离和检测等过程中,不同组成的重叠越多,相关性就越强。组成之间相关系数越大,所计算物性参数不确定度越大。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective The linear stimulation and covariance calculation of multiple sets of data are used to study the correlation of natural gas composition analyzed by gas chromatography and its influence on the uncertainty of calculated physical properties.
    Method More than 40 times of composition analysis on each of 5 natural gas samples were put together to get the correlation coefficients between different compositions in samples. Five correlation coefficient matrixes were formed according to these correlation coefficients and their average value was calculated. Combined with the characteristics of analysis equipments and analysis process, the causes of correlation coefficient matrix were discussed, and the method was recommended to determine the correlation coefficient in the situation that the correlation coefficient cannot be practically measured.
    Result Based on the simulated natural gas compositions and their uncertainties, a relative 20% of difference between the uncertainties of natural gas calorific value was observed using different matrix. The influence on uncertainty evaluation was analyzed by the difference of correlation coefficient.
    Conclusion The more overlapping between difference compositions in the process of sampling, separation, and detection, the stronger correlation was found. The larger correlation coefficients, the larger uncertainty of the calculated physical parameter.

     

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