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中国页岩气全生命周期碳排放核算研究

Research on the life cycle carbon emission accounting of shale gas in China

  • 摘要:
    目的 页岩气作为一种非常规天然气,被广泛视为由高碳能源向低碳能源转型的一种重要过渡性燃料。近年来,因其储量丰富、开采技术不断进步而发展迅速,但在其开发利用过程中所产生的碳排放问题备受争议。为深入了解页岩气碳排放特征及其在“双碳”目标中的作用,系统性地开展全生命周期碳排放核算研究具有重要意义。
    方法 基于现有文献,对页岩气碳排放特征进行梳理总结,明确页岩气生命周期各阶段的碳排放源,包括开采、运输及使用等主要环节。基于此,构建碳排放核算模型,采用基于过程和基于经济投入产出的生命周期评价方法对页岩气从开采到最终使用的直接和间接碳排放进行评估,并与煤炭的生命周期碳排放进行对比。此外,选取合成氨、制甲醇、制乙炔3种典型化工利用路径,明确不同路径碳排放差异,并提出相应的路径选择与优化建议。根据结果分析,提出相关政策建议以促进页岩气低碳高质量发展。
    结果 页岩气全生命周期碳排放强度平均为135.41 gCO2e/MJ,变动范围为57.97~183.15 gCO2e/MJ。其中使用阶段的碳排放量最高,占比高达85.73%;其次是开采阶段,占比12.47%。研究还发现,甲烷逸散是开采阶段碳排放的主要来源,约占开采阶段总排放量的62.01%。
    结论 通过与煤炭的生命周期碳排放量的对比分析,页岩气生命周期碳排放量明显低于煤炭,进一步证实页岩气作为一种清洁能源的巨大潜力。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective Shale gas, an unconventional natural gas, is widely regarded as an important transitional fuel in the shift from high-carbon to low-carbon energy sources. In recent years, shale gas has developed rapidly due to its abundant reserves and advancements in extraction technologies. However, the carbon emissions associated with its development and utilization remain highly controversial. Conducting systematic research on the lifecycle carbon emissions of shale gas is essential to comprehensively understand its carbon emission characteristics and its role in achieving the "dual carbon" goals.
    Method This study reviewed and summarized the carbon emission characteristics of shale gas based on existing literature, identifying carbon emission sources across its lifecycle stages, including extraction, transportation, and utilization. On this basis, a carbon emission accounting model was constructed, employing both process-based and economic input-output lifecycle assessment methods to evaluate the direct and indirect carbon emissions of shale gas from extraction to final utilization. Furthermore, a comparative analysis was conducted against the lifecycle carbon emissions of coal. In addition, this paper selected three typical chemical industry utilization paths: ammonia synthesis, methanol production, and acetylene production, to clarify the differences in carbon emissions from different paths, and put forward corresponding path selection and optimization suggestions. Based on the analysis of the results, relevant policy recommendations are raised to promote the low-carbon and high-quality development of shale gas.
    Result The results indicated that the average lifecycle carbon emissions of shale gas were 135.41 gCO2e/MJ, ranging from 57.97 to 183.15 gCO2e/MJ. The utilization phase contributed the highest emissions, accounting for 85.73% of the total, which was followed by the extraction phase, making up 12.47% of the total. Additionally, methane leakage was identified as the primary source of emissions during the extraction phase, contributing approximately 62.01% of the total emissions in this stage.
    Conclusion The comparative analysis reveals that the lifecycle carbon emissions of shale gas are significantly lower than those of coal, further confirming the considerable potential of shale gas as a cleaner energy source.

     

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