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光伏耦合驱动分布式直接空气捕集CO2经济性分析

Techno-economic analysis of distributed direct air capture of CO2 with photovoltaic-coupled driven systems

  • 摘要:
    目的 为解决分散源低浓度直接空气捕集(direct air capture, DAC)技术间歇性和能耗高的难题。
    方法 以柴达木盆地某光伏发电项目为例,系统构建了4种光伏耦合供能连续DAC系统,用于油气行业分布式碳捕集,计算了DAC系统平准化度电成本(levelized cost of electricity, LCOE)和平准化碳捕集成本(levelized cost of DAC, LCOD)等经济指标,从经济性和敏感性两个方面,深入剖析了年辐射量、光伏规模、吸附剂成本和捕集能耗等多个因素对关键指标的影响程度。
    结果 ①相比于光伏耦合蓄电池、光伏耦合储热发电和光伏耦合市电模式,光伏耦合储热和储电的连续DAC系统LCOD为265 美元/t,尽管略高于光伏耦合市电模式,但具有100%绿电供能和全周期负碳排优势,是更具综合竞争力的方案;②未来10年,光伏技术年进步率达5%时,LCOD可降至约一半,系统规模化可推动单位成本大幅度下降;③捕集能耗对LCOD降低效果尤为显著,能耗由1400 kW·h/t增至5000 kW·h/t时,LCOD线性增长幅度大(265~946 美元/t)。
    结论 随着捕集能耗降低和设备技术迭代,离网型光伏耦合驱动连续DAC技术将具有更大的经济优势与发展潜力,为油气田绿色低碳转型提供分布式绿电碳捕集方案。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective This study aims to address the intermittency and high energy consumption challenges of direct air capture (DAC) of CO2 for low-concentration sources.
    Method Four continuous DAC systems with different photovoltaic (PV)-coupled power supply configurations were developed for distributed carbon capture in the oil and gas industry, taking a PV project in the Qaidam Basin as a case study. Economic indicators, including levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) and levelized cost of DAC (LCOD), were calculated. An in-depth sensitivity analysis was then conducted to assess the impact of key factors, such as annual solar irradiance, PV capacity, sorbent cost, and capture energy intensity, on system performance.
    Result First, compared to PV-battery, PV-thermal, and PV-grid systems, the PV system coupled with both thermal and battery energy storage (PV-TES-BESS) achieves an LCOD of 265 USD/t. Although slightly higher than that of the PV-grid system, it provides 100% renewable power supply and lifecycle carbon negativity, representing a more competitive solution. Second, assuming an annual 5% improvement in PV technology over the next decade, the LCOD is expected to decrease by approximately half, and system scale-up will significantly reduce unit costs. Third, the LCOD exhibits linear sensitivity to capture energy intensity, ranging from 265 to 946 USD/t, as the energy intensity increases from 1400 to 5000 kW·h/t.
    Conclusion These findings demonstrate the significant economic potential of off-grid PV-coupled driven continuous DAC systems through reductions in energy intensity and technological advancements, providing a distributed green-power-based carbon capture solution for the low-carbon transition of oil and gas fields.

     

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